Swit Szczecin II vs Pogon Szczecin II

13 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Swit Szczecin II

Pogon Szczecin II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.0% DRAW 15.5% AWAY 72.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.5% 8.00 DRAW 16.7% 6.00 AWAY 70.8% 1.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Pogon Szczecin II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Swit Szczecin II Pogon Szczecin II

Shots 16.0 · On target 8.0 Shots 18.8 · On target 9.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Swit Szczecin II Pogon Szczecin II

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Pogon Szczecin II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Swit Szczecin II Pogon Szczecin II

The combined recent performance profile favours Pogon Szczecin II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Swit Szczecin II = (0.0%)

Pogon Szczecin II ↑ +0.19 (+15.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.