Hashtag United (W) vs Oxford Utd (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Hashtag United (W)

Oxford Utd (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.9% DRAW 14.2% AWAY 78.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 6.7% 15.00 DRAW 14.5% 6.88 AWAY 78.8% 1.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hashtag United (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hashtag United (W) Oxford Utd (W)

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Hashtag United (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hashtag United (W) Oxford Utd (W)

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.5

Oxford Utd (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hashtag United (W) Oxford Utd (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Oxford Utd (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hashtag United (W) ↑ +7.50 (+100.0%)

Oxford Utd (W) ↓ -0.16 (-11.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.