Killester Donnycarney FC vs St Francis FC

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Killester Donnycarney FC

St Francis FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.9% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 19.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.7% 1.63 DRAW 21.5% 4.37 AWAY 20.9% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Killester Donnycarney FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 60.9% win probability, compared with 57.7% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Killester Donnycarney FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Killester Donnycarney FC St Francis FC

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Killester Donnycarney FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Killester Donnycarney FC St Francis FC

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Killester Donnycarney FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Killester Donnycarney FC St Francis FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Killester Donnycarney FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Killester Donnycarney FC ↓ -0.28 (-14.7%)

St Francis FC ↑ +1.40 (+45.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.