CSD Jutiapa vs Tigres del Jumay

13 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

CSD Jutiapa

Tigres del Jumay

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.4% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 47.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.9% 3.17 DRAW 26.6% 3.44 AWAY 44.6% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Tigres del Jumay relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.8% win probability, compared with 44.6% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Tigres del Jumay

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSD Jutiapa Tigres del Jumay

Shots 12.0 · On target 7.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours CSD Jutiapa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSD Jutiapa Tigres del Jumay

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Tigres del Jumay has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSD Jutiapa Tigres del Jumay

The combined recent performance profile favours Tigres del Jumay.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CSD Jutiapa ↑ +0.15 (+4.8%)

Tigres del Jumay ↓ -0.04 (-1.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.