Pluak Daeng United vs Customs United

13 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Pluak Daeng United

Customs United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.6% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 39.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.4% 2.55 DRAW 26.6% 3.40 AWAY 38.0% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Customs United

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pluak Daeng United Customs United

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pluak Daeng United Customs United

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.8

Customs United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pluak Daeng United Customs United

The combined recent performance profile favours Customs United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Pluak Daeng United ↑ +0.25 (+10.9%)

Customs United ↓ -0.23 (-8.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.