Conil CF vs Dos Hermanas CF 1971

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Conil CF

Dos Hermanas CF 1971

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 39.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.6% 3.19 DRAW 28.0% 3.25 AWAY 43.4% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Conil CF relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.8% win probability, compared with 28.6% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Conil CF has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Conil CF Dos Hermanas CF 1971

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Conil CF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Conil CF Dos Hermanas CF 1971

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Conil CF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Conil CF Dos Hermanas CF 1971

The combined recent performance profile favours Conil CF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Conil CF ↑ +0.09 (+2.7%)

Dos Hermanas CF 1971 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.