Oakleigh Cannons vs Avondale

19 Sep 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Oakleigh Cannons

Avondale

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 29.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% 2.18 DRAW 26.6% 3.47 AWAY 31.1% 2.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Oakleigh Cannons has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Oakleigh Cannons Avondale

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Oakleigh Cannons Avondale

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Oakleigh Cannons has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Oakleigh Cannons Avondale

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Oakleigh Cannons = (0.0%)

Avondale ↓ -0.06 (-1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.