Bayside Argonauts FC vs Essendon Royals

19 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Bayside Argonauts FC

Essendon Royals

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.8% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 41.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.8% 2.51 DRAW 23.1% 4.00 AWAY 40.1% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Essendon Royals

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bayside Argonauts FC Essendon Royals

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Essendon Royals, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bayside Argonauts FC Essendon Royals

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bayside Argonauts FC Essendon Royals

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bayside Argonauts FC ↑ +0.17 (+7.3%)

Essendon Royals ↓ -0.08 (-3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.