Mamelodi Sundowns (W) B vs Young Achievers FC (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) B

Young Achievers FC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 82.8% DRAW 11.7% AWAY 5.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 80.7% 1.14 DRAW 13.2% 7.00 AWAY 6.1% 15.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Young Achievers FC (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) B Young Achievers FC (W)

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Young Achievers FC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) B Young Achievers FC (W)

Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) B Young Achievers FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Mamelodi Sundowns (W) B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) B ↓ -0.13 (-10.1%)

Young Achievers FC (W) ↑ +7.50 (+100.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.