Atletico Espeleno vs Isla Cristina

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

Atletico Espeleno

Isla Cristina

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 26.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% 2.09 DRAW 26.0% 3.60 AWAY 29.3% 3.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Atletico Espeleno clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.8% win probability, compared with 44.7% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Atletico Espeleno has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Espeleno Isla Cristina

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 4.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Espeleno, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Espeleno Isla Cristina

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Espeleno Isla Cristina

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico Espeleno.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Atletico Espeleno ↑ +0.38 (+22.2%)

Isla Cristina ↓ -0.84 (-20.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.