Recambios Colon vs CD Burriana

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

Recambios Colon

CD Burriana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 32.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% 2.29 DRAW 29.4% 3.20 AWAY 29.4% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CD Burriana relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.7% win probability, compared with 29.4% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CD Burriana has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Recambios Colon CD Burriana

Shots 3.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Burriana, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Recambios Colon CD Burriana

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3

CD Burriana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Recambios Colon CD Burriana

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Burriana.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Recambios Colon ↑ +0.24 (+11.7%)

CD Burriana = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.