Chivas Guadalajara U19 vs Unam Pumas U19

13 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Chivas Guadalajara U19

Unam Pumas U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 24.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% 2.07 DRAW 27.5% 3.60 AWAY 24.7% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chivas Guadalajara U19

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chivas Guadalajara U19 Unam Pumas U19

Shots 10.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Chivas Guadalajara U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chivas Guadalajara U19 Unam Pumas U19

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Unam Pumas U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chivas Guadalajara U19 Unam Pumas U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Chivas Guadalajara U19 ↑ +0.37 (+21.8%)

Unam Pumas U19 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.