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USA UPSL · US

Shock City FC vs Tampa Rangers

14 Sep 2026 · 00:00
SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp
Shock City FC
Tampa Rangers
HOME 37.9% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 40.2%
HOME 40.2% 2.25 DRAW 22.9% 3.95 AWAY 36.9% 2.45

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Tampa Rangers relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.2% win probability, compared with 36.9% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Tampa Rangers has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Shock City FC Tampa Rangers
Shots 4.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Tampa Rangers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Shock City FC Tampa Rangers
Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Tampa Rangers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Shock City FC Tampa Rangers

The combined recent performance profile favours Tampa Rangers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shock City FC = (0.0%)
Tampa Rangers ↓ -0.05 (-2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.