Atletico Saguntino vs Navalcarnero

16 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Atletico Saguntino

Navalcarnero

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 39.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% 3.01 DRAW 29.6% 3.10 AWAY 39.9% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Navalcarnero

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Saguntino Navalcarnero

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Navalcarnero, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Saguntino Navalcarnero

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Atletico Saguntino has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Saguntino Navalcarnero

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico Saguntino ↑ +0.07 (+2.2%)

Navalcarnero ↓ -0.04 (-1.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.