CD Mineros Potosi vs CA Independiente CBBA

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

CD Mineros Potosi

CA Independiente CBBA

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 36.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% 2.45 DRAW 28.8% 3.26 AWAY 32.8% 2.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CA Independiente CBBA relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.2% win probability, compared with 32.8% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CA Independiente CBBA has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Mineros Potosi CA Independiente CBBA

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours CA Independiente CBBA, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Mineros Potosi CA Independiente CBBA

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.3

CA Independiente CBBA has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Mineros Potosi CA Independiente CBBA

The combined recent performance profile favours CA Independiente CBBA.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CD Mineros Potosi ↓ -0.05 (-2.0%)

CA Independiente CBBA ↑ +0.32 (+12.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.