Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Valur Reykjavik (W)

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 35.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.44 DRAW 24.4% 3.82 AWAY 37.3% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Valur Reykjavik (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.4% win probability, compared with 38.2% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Valur Reykjavik (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Valur Reykjavik (W) Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Valur Reykjavik (W) Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Valur Reykjavik (W) Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Valur Reykjavik (W) ↑ +0.09 (+3.8%)

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) ↑ +0.17 (+7.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.