Tokyo 23 FC vs Nankatsu SC

13 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.9 pp

Tokyo 23 FC

Nankatsu SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.9% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 55.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.5% 3.95 DRAW 24.9% 3.88 AWAY 50.6% 1.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Nankatsu SC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.5% win probability, compared with 50.6% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Nankatsu SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tokyo 23 FC Nankatsu SC

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 18.5 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Nankatsu SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tokyo 23 FC Nankatsu SC

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Nankatsu SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tokyo 23 FC Nankatsu SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Nankatsu SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tokyo 23 FC ↑ +0.72 (+22.3%)

Nankatsu SC ↑ +0.12 (+6.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.