Variamore Aki vs SRC Hiroshima

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Variamore Aki

SRC Hiroshima

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.3% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 58.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.8% 4.85 DRAW 18.8% 5.37 AWAY 60.5% 1.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SRC Hiroshima

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Variamore Aki SRC Hiroshima

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Variamore Aki SRC Hiroshima

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 9.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Variamore Aki SRC Hiroshima

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Variamore Aki ↑ +1.03 (+27.0%)

SRC Hiroshima ↑ +0.18 (+12.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.