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South Korea K4 League · KR

Gijang United vs Geumsan Insam

13 Sep 2026 · 10:00
NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp
Gijang United
Geumsan Insam
HOME 22.8% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 51.9%
HOME 23.9% 4.00 DRAW 25.8% 3.70 AWAY 50.3% 1.90

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Geumsan Insam has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Gijang United Geumsan Insam
Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Gijang United Geumsan Insam
Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Geumsan Insam has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Gijang United Geumsan Insam

The combined recent performance profile favours Geumsan Insam.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Gijang United = (0.0%)
Geumsan Insam ↓ -0.20 (-9.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.