Namyangju FC vs Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

13 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Namyangju FC

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.6% DRAW 21.3% AWAY 14.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.9% 1.61 DRAW 22.8% 4.30 AWAY 16.3% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Namyangju FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.6% win probability, compared with 60.9% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Namyangju FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Namyangju FC Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

Shots 12.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Namyangju FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Namyangju FC Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Namyangju FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Namyangju FC Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Namyangju FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Namyangju FC ↑ +0.17 (+11.4%)

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.