Dunbeholden FC vs Cavalier

13 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Dunbeholden FC

Cavalier

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.4% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 50.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.8% 4.99 DRAW 26.2% 3.57 AWAY 55.0% 1.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Dunbeholden FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 22.4% win probability, compared with 18.8% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cavalier

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dunbeholden FC Cavalier

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Cavalier, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dunbeholden FC Cavalier

Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Dunbeholden FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dunbeholden FC Cavalier

The combined recent performance profile favours Dunbeholden FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Dunbeholden FC ↑ +0.25 (+5.3%)

Cavalier ↓ -0.21 (-10.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.