Montego Bay Utd vs Chapelton Maroons FC

13 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Montego Bay Utd

Chapelton Maroons FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 16.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.3% 1.53 DRAW 23.2% 4.05 AWAY 15.4% 6.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chapelton Maroons FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Montego Bay Utd Chapelton Maroons FC

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Chapelton Maroons FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Montego Bay Utd Chapelton Maroons FC

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Montego Bay Utd Chapelton Maroons FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Chapelton Maroons FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Montego Bay Utd ↑ +0.13 (+9.5%)

Chapelton Maroons FC ↑ +0.09 (+1.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.