AD Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi

14 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

AD Carmelita

Cariari Pococi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.6% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 37.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% 2.88 DRAW 28.4% 3.30 AWAY 39.2% 2.39

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AD Carmelita

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AD Carmelita Cariari Pococi

Shots 13.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours AD Carmelita, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AD Carmelita Cariari Pococi

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AD Carmelita Cariari Pococi

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

AD Carmelita —

Cariari Pococi —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.