Centro Olimpico (W) vs Sao Jose SP (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Centro Olimpico (W)

Sao Jose SP (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.6% DRAW 16.2% AWAY 72.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 10.8% 8.55 DRAW 16.5% 5.60 AWAY 72.7% 1.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sao Jose SP (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Centro Olimpico (W) Sao Jose SP (W)

Shots 0.8 · On target 0.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Sao Jose SP (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Centro Olimpico (W) Sao Jose SP (W)

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Centro Olimpico (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Centro Olimpico (W) Sao Jose SP (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Sao Jose SP (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Centro Olimpico (W) ↑ +2.00 (+36.4%)

Sao Jose SP (W) ↓ -0.07 (-5.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.