CDC Dominguez Osos vs Irapuato Olimpo

14 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

CDC Dominguez Osos

Irapuato Olimpo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 35.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% 2.55 DRAW 25.0% 3.78 AWAY 38.0% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CDC Dominguez Osos relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.1% win probability, compared with 37.0% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CDC Dominguez Osos

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CDC Dominguez Osos Irapuato Olimpo

Shots 12.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Irapuato Olimpo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CDC Dominguez Osos Irapuato Olimpo

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.5

CDC Dominguez Osos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CDC Dominguez Osos Irapuato Olimpo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

CDC Dominguez Osos —

Irapuato Olimpo —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.