Club Atletico Palmira vs La Libertad

13 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Club Atletico Palmira

La Libertad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.7% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% 1.95 DRAW 25.5% 3.60 AWAY 27.5% 3.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Club Atletico Palmira relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.7% win probability, compared with 47.0% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: La Libertad

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Atletico Palmira La Libertad

Shots 3.8 · On target 0.5 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours La Libertad, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Atletico Palmira La Libertad

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Club Atletico Palmira has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Atletico Palmira La Libertad

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Club Atletico Palmira ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

La Libertad ↑ +0.14 (+4.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.