NS Mura U19 vs NK Noga Triglav U19

14 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

NS Mura U19

NK Noga Triglav U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 30.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% 2.15 DRAW 24.6% 3.70 AWAY 33.1% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for NS Mura U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.0% win probability, compared with 42.3% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

NS Mura U19 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

NS Mura U19 NK Noga Triglav U19

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours NS Mura U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NS Mura U19 NK Noga Triglav U19

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NS Mura U19 NK Noga Triglav U19

The combined recent performance profile favours NS Mura U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NS Mura U19 ↑ +0.05 (+2.4%)

NK Noga Triglav U19 ↑ +0.05 (+2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.