Volos NFC vs AEK Athens

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Volos NFC

AEK Athens

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 7.0% DRAW 14.9% AWAY 78.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.7% 11.00 DRAW 16.7% 5.73 AWAY 74.6% 1.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for AEK Athens relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 78.1% win probability, compared with 74.6% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

AEK Athens has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Volos NFC AEK Athens

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 18.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours AEK Athens, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Volos NFC AEK Athens

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

AEK Athens has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Volos NFC AEK Athens

The combined recent performance profile favours AEK Athens.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Volos NFC ↑ +3.00 (+37.5%)

AEK Athens ↓ -0.09 (-6.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.