Estrella Roja Reserves vs CD Olimpia Reserves

14 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Estrella Roja Reserves

CD Olimpia Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.3% DRAW 17.8% AWAY 67.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.0% 6.00 DRAW 19.0% 4.75 AWAY 66.0% 1.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CD Olimpia Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Estrella Roja Reserves CD Olimpia Reserves

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours CD Olimpia Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Estrella Roja Reserves CD Olimpia Reserves

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.3

CD Olimpia Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Estrella Roja Reserves CD Olimpia Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Olimpia Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Estrella Roja Reserves ↓ -1.00 (-14.3%)

CD Olimpia Reserves ↑ +0.06 (+4.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.