Juticalpa Reserves vs Lobos UPNFM Reserves

14 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Juticalpa Reserves

Lobos UPNFM Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.8% DRAW 17.3% AWAY 69.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.2% 6.94 DRAW 18.3% 5.00 AWAY 68.6% 1.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lobos UPNFM Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Juticalpa Reserves Lobos UPNFM Reserves

Shots 4.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Lobos UPNFM Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Juticalpa Reserves Lobos UPNFM Reserves

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Juticalpa Reserves Lobos UPNFM Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Lobos UPNFM Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Juticalpa Reserves ↑ +1.94 (+38.8%)

Lobos UPNFM Reserves ↓ -0.09 (-6.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.