Genesis de Comayagua Reserves vs CD Marathon Reserves

14 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Genesis de Comayagua Reserves

CD Marathon Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.6% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 56.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.7% 5.18 DRAW 23.2% 3.94 AWAY 59.1% 1.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Genesis de Comayagua Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Genesis de Comayagua Reserves CD Marathon Reserves

Shots 15.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Genesis de Comayagua Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Genesis de Comayagua Reserves CD Marathon Reserves

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 5.3

CD Marathon Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Genesis de Comayagua Reserves CD Marathon Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Genesis de Comayagua Reserves ↑ +0.68 (+15.1%)

CD Marathon Reserves = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.