Douglas Hall vs Carrigaline United

14 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.5 pp

Douglas Hall

Carrigaline United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 25.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% 2.05 DRAW 26.6% 3.45 AWAY 28.7% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Douglas Hall clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.3% win probability, compared with 44.7% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Douglas Hall

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Douglas Hall Carrigaline United

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Douglas Hall Carrigaline United

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Douglas Hall has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Douglas Hall Carrigaline United

The combined recent performance profile favours Douglas Hall.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Douglas Hall ↓ -0.15 (-6.8%)

Carrigaline United ↑ +0.50 (+18.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.