Barwell vs Sutton Coldfield

14 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.6 pp

Barwell

Sutton Coldfield

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.8% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 46.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.5% 3.01 DRAW 25.5% 3.72 AWAY 43.1% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sutton Coldfield relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.7% win probability, compared with 43.1% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sutton Coldfield has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barwell Sutton Coldfield

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 15.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Sutton Coldfield, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barwell Sutton Coldfield

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barwell Sutton Coldfield

The combined recent performance profile favours Sutton Coldfield.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Barwell ↑ +0.56 (+22.9%)

Sutton Coldfield ↓ -0.15 (-6.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.