Ezeiza vs Deportivo Metalurgico

14 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Ezeiza

Deportivo Metalurgico

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.6% DRAW 34.8% AWAY 41.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.0% 3.80 DRAW 34.1% 2.90 AWAY 39.9% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Deportivo Metalurgico has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ezeiza Deportivo Metalurgico

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ezeiza Deportivo Metalurgico

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Deportivo Metalurgico has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ezeiza Deportivo Metalurgico

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Metalurgico.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ezeiza ↑ +1.05 (+38.2%)

Deportivo Metalurgico ↑ +0.08 (+3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.