Sportivo Baradero vs Parana FC San Pedro

15 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Sportivo Baradero

Parana FC San Pedro

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 30.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.1% 2.00 DRAW 25.8% 3.50 AWAY 29.1% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sportivo Baradero

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportivo Baradero Parana FC San Pedro

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportivo Baradero Parana FC San Pedro

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.0

Parana FC San Pedro has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportivo Baradero Parana FC San Pedro

The combined recent performance profile favours Parana FC San Pedro.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sportivo Baradero = (0.0%)

Parana FC San Pedro = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.