CD Ciclos vs Molino Viejo

14 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

CD Ciclos

Molino Viejo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.1% DRAW 19.2% AWAY 67.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.8% 6.71 DRAW 20.1% 4.60 AWAY 66.1% 1.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Molino Viejo

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Ciclos Molino Viejo

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Ciclos Molino Viejo

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Molino Viejo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Ciclos Molino Viejo

The combined recent performance profile favours Molino Viejo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

CD Ciclos ↑ +0.96 (+16.7%)

Molino Viejo = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.