FC Leones Reserves vs Universidad de Antioquia

14 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

FC Leones Reserves

Universidad de Antioquia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.4% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 14.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.1% 1.36 DRAW 18.6% 5.00 AWAY 13.3% 6.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Universidad de Antioquia

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Leones Reserves Universidad de Antioquia

Shots 8.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Leones Reserves Universidad de Antioquia

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Universidad de Antioquia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Leones Reserves Universidad de Antioquia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FC Leones Reserves = (0.0%)

Universidad de Antioquia ↑ +1.02 (+17.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.