Mawpat SC vs SMIT SC

14 Sep 2026 · 11:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Mawpat SC

SMIT SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.7% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 22.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.0% 1.73 DRAW 23.0% 3.90 AWAY 25.0% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Mawpat SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.7% win probability, compared with 52.0% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Mawpat SC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mawpat SC SMIT SC

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mawpat SC SMIT SC

Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Mawpat SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mawpat SC SMIT SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Mawpat SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mawpat SC = (0.0%)

SMIT SC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.