Shanghai Port U20 vs Guangdong GZ-Power U20

14 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.8 pp

Shanghai Port U20

Guangdong GZ-Power U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.8% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 21.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.0% 1.73 DRAW 23.0% 3.90 AWAY 25.0% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Shanghai Port U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.8% win probability, compared with 52.0% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Shanghai Port U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shanghai Port U20 Guangdong GZ-Power U20

Shots 13.0 · On target 7.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Shanghai Port U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shanghai Port U20 Guangdong GZ-Power U20

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Shanghai Port U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shanghai Port U20 Guangdong GZ-Power U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Shanghai Port U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shanghai Port U20 = (0.0%)

Guangdong GZ-Power U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.