Planalto EC U20 vs Goias U20

14 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Planalto EC U20

Goias U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.4% DRAW 17.6% AWAY 76.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.6% 12.40 DRAW 18.9% 5.00 AWAY 73.5% 1.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Goias U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 76.0% win probability, compared with 73.5% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Goias U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Planalto EC U20 Goias U20

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 16.0 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Goias U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Planalto EC U20 Goias U20

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Goias U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Planalto EC U20 Goias U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Goias U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Planalto EC U20 ↑ +4.40 (+55.0%)

Goias U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.