England U20 (W) vs Nigeria U20 (W)

17 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

England U20 (W)

Nigeria U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.8% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 21.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.7% 1.61 DRAW 22.7% 4.09 AWAY 19.6% 4.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Nigeria U20 (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

England U20 (W) Nigeria U20 (W)

Shots 8.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Nigeria U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

England U20 (W) Nigeria U20 (W)

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Nigeria U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

England U20 (W) Nigeria U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Nigeria U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

England U20 (W) ↑ +0.06 (+3.5%)

Nigeria U20 (W) ↓ -0.53 (-10.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.