France U20 (W) vs Canada U20 (W)

17 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

France U20 (W)

Canada U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.8% 2.17 DRAW 26.9% 3.45 AWAY 30.3% 3.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates France U20 (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.3% win probability, compared with 42.8% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

France U20 (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

France U20 (W) Canada U20 (W)

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

France U20 (W) Canada U20 (W)

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

France U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

France U20 (W) Canada U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours France U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

France U20 (W) ↓ -0.02 (-0.9%)

Canada U20 (W) ↑ +0.26 (+9.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.