Rubio Nu Reserves vs Nacional Asuncion Reserves

14 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Rubio Nu Reserves

Nacional Asuncion Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 3.8% DRAW 5.8% AWAY 90.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 4.1% 23.00 DRAW 6.8% 14.00 AWAY 89.0% 1.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Nacional Asuncion Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rubio Nu Reserves Nacional Asuncion Reserves

Shots 4.3 · On target 1.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Nacional Asuncion Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rubio Nu Reserves Nacional Asuncion Reserves

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Nacional Asuncion Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rubio Nu Reserves Nacional Asuncion Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Nacional Asuncion Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rubio Nu Reserves = (0.0%)

Nacional Asuncion Reserves ↑ +0.02 (+1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.