Vietnam V-League 2 · VN

Ho Chi Minh City vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho

08 Nov 2026 · 11:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for a home win for Ho Chi Minh City. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.55 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.69. At this price, a home win for Ho Chi Minh City does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Ho Chi Minh City

STOCHASTICBET 59.3%

PINNACLE 58.3% odd 1.55

DIFFERENCE +1.0 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 23.4%

PINNACLE 23.7% odd 3.81

DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp

AWAY

Xuan Thien Phu Tho

STOCHASTICBET 17.3%

PINNACLE 18.0% odd 5.03

DIFFERENCE -0.7 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 10:41

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ho Chi Minh City Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Xuan Thien Phu Tho, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ho Chi Minh City Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 7.0

Ho Chi Minh City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ho Chi Minh City Xuan Thien Phu Tho

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.