Armadale vs UWA-Nedlands FC

19 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Armadale

UWA-Nedlands FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.8% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 24.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% 1.95 DRAW 25.4% 3.75 AWAY 25.8% 3.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Armadale

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Armadale UWA-Nedlands FC

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Armadale, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Armadale UWA-Nedlands FC

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 2.8

UWA-Nedlands FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Armadale UWA-Nedlands FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Armadale ↑ +0.04 (+2.3%)

UWA-Nedlands FC ↑ +0.50 (+15.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.