Crusaders Reserves vs Linfield Reserves

14 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.5 pp

Crusaders Reserves

Linfield Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.6% DRAW 18.7% AWAY 57.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.3% 3.39 DRAW 20.6% 4.50 AWAY 52.1% 1.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Linfield Reserves clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.6% win probability, compared with 52.1% implied by the market. The 5.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Linfield Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Crusaders Reserves Linfield Reserves

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 20.5 · On target 10.8

Recent attacking output favours Linfield Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Crusaders Reserves Linfield Reserves

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Crusaders Reserves Linfield Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Linfield Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Crusaders Reserves ↑ +0.23 (+7.3%)

Linfield Reserves ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.