River Plate Asuncion vs Club 1 de Marzo Pilar

14 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

River Plate Asuncion

Club 1 de Marzo Pilar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.9% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 11.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.6% 1.40 DRAW 21.9% 4.25 AWAY 11.4% 8.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: River Plate Asuncion

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

River Plate Asuncion Club 1 de Marzo Pilar

Shots 7.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours River Plate Asuncion, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

River Plate Asuncion Club 1 de Marzo Pilar

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

River Plate Asuncion Club 1 de Marzo Pilar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

River Plate Asuncion = (0.0%)

Club 1 de Marzo Pilar ↑ +2.15 (+35.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.