Monagas vs Zamora

17 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Monagas

Zamora

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.8% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 20.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% 1.76 DRAW 26.7% 3.44 AWAY 21.2% 4.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Monagas

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Monagas Zamora

Shots 16.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Monagas Zamora

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Monagas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Monagas Zamora

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Monagas ↓ -0.18 (-9.1%)

Zamora ↑ +0.31 (+7.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.