Mar de Fondo vs CA Terremoto

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Mar de Fondo

CA Terremoto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 39.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.2% 3.10 DRAW 29.2% 3.20 AWAY 40.6% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Terremoto

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mar de Fondo CA Terremoto

Shots 12.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours CA Terremoto, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mar de Fondo CA Terremoto

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Mar de Fondo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mar de Fondo CA Terremoto

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mar de Fondo = (0.0%)

CA Terremoto = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.