Deutscher FK vs Deportivo Italiano

16 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Deutscher FK

Deportivo Italiano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.0% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 41.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% 2.91 DRAW 28.6% 3.24 AWAY 39.5% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Deportivo Italiano has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deutscher FK Deportivo Italiano

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Italiano, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deutscher FK Deportivo Italiano

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Deportivo Italiano has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deutscher FK Deportivo Italiano

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Italiano.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Deutscher FK ↓ -0.55 (-17.7%)

Deportivo Italiano ↑ +0.45 (+21.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.